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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">28</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>《现代化工技术》原《现代化工》</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title>Modern Chemical Engineering Technology</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn>ISSN：3104-770X(P)/3104-7718(O)；原ISSN：2661-3670(P)/2661-3689(O)</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>华文国际出版社</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">9701</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>A precipitation forecast correction model considering forecast position deviation and rain/no-rain recognition</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Jia Li 1</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Bin Hu 2</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Shiyu Mou 1</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Canlin Xiong 1</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Yuanhao Fang 2 （1.Department of Hydrology and Water Resources</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Hohai University</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>China</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>2.National Energy Dadu River Basin Hydropower Development Co.</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>Ltd.</string-name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>China）</string-name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <year>2024</year>
        <month>12</month>
      </pub-date>
      <issue>12</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>Precipitation forecasting holds significant importance in fields such as disaster prevention，mitigation，and water
resource management.However，existing precipitation forecasts often encounter issues such as spatial bias and inadequate
predictions of extreme precipitation events.This paper proposes a correction model that combines statistical methods with
deep learning，named Unet-DConvLSTM-QM （U-D-Q）.The model optimizes precipitation spatial distribution using
Unet，employs a dual-layer ConvLSTM to distinguish between rain/no-rain and correct precipitation intensity，and
finally applies Quantile Mapping （QM）for further forecast adjustment.Focusing on the Dadu River Basin，the study
compares U-D-Q with quantile mapping and ConvLSTM，systematically evaluating its performance.The study's results
demonstrate that the U-D-Q model outperforms other methods （quantile mapping and ConvLSTM）in key metrics
such as the Critical Success Index （CSI），Mean Absolute Error （MAE），Root Mean Square Error （RMSE），and
Correlation Coefficient （CC）.It excels particularly in the medium to high-intensity precipitation intervals （[10，25），
[25，50），[50，+∞）），significantly reducing errors in extreme precipitation events.While the QM model performs well
in low-intensity precipitation intervals （[0.1，10）），its adaptability to extreme events is limited.Although ConvLSTM
shows some improvements，it does not match the overall effectiveness of the U-D-Q model.This research provides a
novel approach to enhancing precipitation forecast accuracy and validates the potential of deep learning applications in
precipitation forecasting.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
